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10 Second Summary
Another major victory for the risk loving asset takers as US job losses turn out much less than the 120,000 slump expected by Wall Street. The AUD and NZD plant fresh highs over the weekend, courtesy of the increase of risk appetite. With Uncle Sam out of town for a long weekend holiday, expect most markets to remain confined to narrow trading ranges today.
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Australian Dollar
The AUD races towards fresh highs, above the 91USc levels, inspired by the risk boosting US jobs figures. With investors now wanting a bigger slice of the risk pie, the Aussie was easily the ‘Golden Child’ of the FX market for the weekend. Sellers and importers taking advantage of good rates, in the Asian session today could see the AUD forfeit part of it's weekend gains this morning.
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United States Dollar
Traders wound down their Dollar exposures over the weekend following a surprisingly strong non-farm payroll report. But even this blissful story contained a dark episode of the rising unemployment rate of 9.6%, which most investors chose to ignore for now. However this black sheep of the US economics will remain the Achilles heel for Wall Street and keep investors gravitationally bound to the Greenback for the short-term.
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Euro
With Euro land retail sales up by 0.1% as well as strong indications that GDP growth is likely to remain positive in Q3, the Euro remains sturdy against the AUD and NZD. While stronger US data over the weekend could dampen the single currency’s strength today, technically the Euro is all primed up to lift-off higher against the Pacific pair. Importers are recommended take cover now.
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Japanese Yen
Despite repetitive warnings, BoJ is having a tough time in pulling on the Yen brakes against the USD. However the intervention stories are sounding sweet music for the Pacific ears, with the AUD and NZD continuing their dominance over the JPY. Expect little change in this corner of the FX market today.
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New Zealand Dollar
The Kiwi Dollar remained in touch with high 71USc levels over the better part of the weekend, with the 7.1 magnitude Canterbury earthquake having a negligible effect on the home currency. While the better than expected Friday’s US payrolls release has protected the NZD till now, the damage bill of NZ$2bn is likely to make It's effect felt on the Kiwi over the next few days. Importers are recommended to take cover at current levels or place overnight orders to gain a peak rate.
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